An area of low pressure over the southern Gulf of Mexico is
expected to move north into the northwest Gulf of Mexico by
Sunday afternoon. This will lead to a strong pressure gradient
maintaining a moderate to strong east to northeast flow tonight
through Sunday night. This will lead to higher waves over the Gulf
waters and increase the tide levels along the middle Texas coast.
With astronomical high tides occurring in early November... minor
coastal flooding is likely around the time of high tide along the
middle Texas coast tonight through Sunday night. Tide levels are
expected to be 1/2 to 1 foot above normal... or 1.5 to 2 feet above
mean sea level causing minor flooding of area beaches. The next
high tide at Port Aransas will occur at 952 PM CST this evening... and
at 418 am CST Sunday morning at Port Oconnor.
It is possible that tide levels could be even higher by Sunday
night... resulting in moderate coastal flooding. If moderate
coastal flooding is expected... then a coastal Flood Watch or
warning may be required later this weekend.
In addition to the coastal flooding... high swells will lead to
dangerous rip currents developing along the coast for the
weekend. Rip currents can be life threatening even to experienced
swimmers and surfers.
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Swimming and other marine-related activities are highly
discouraged due to the threat from heavy surf and rip currents.
Heavy surf and rip currents pose a danger to anyone in the water.
If you are caught in a rip current... do not panic. Escape the
current by swimming in a direction following the shoreline until
you are free from the rip current.
Listen to NOAA Weather Radio or your local media for the latest updates
on this situation... as a coastal Flood Watch may be required later
today or this weekend.