Bill brushes Massachusetts; Nova Scotia gets pounded

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:05 PM GMT on August 23, 2009

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The winds and waves are dying down in coastal Massachusetts, which took a glancing blow from Hurricane Bill last night and this morning. Bill's center passed about 200 miles southeast of Massachusetts' Nantucket Island, bringing top sustained winds of 24 mph, gusting to 31 mph, at the airport. A storm surge of 1 foot was observed on Cape Cod and Nantucket at high tide. A storm surge of 0.5 feet was reported at Newport, RI, and Boston, MA. President Obama arrives in neighboring Martha's Vineyard today for vacation, and will not want to go swimming--seas of up to 15 feet will continue to batter the shores of southeast Massachusetts. Significant wave heights at Buoy 44008, about 60 miles southeast of Nantucket Island reached 27 feet early this morning. A rainband from Bill set up over Massachusetts, from Boston southwestward, and several reports of 3 - 4 inches of rain came from stations in the rain band (Figure 1).


Figure 1. Radar estimated precipitation from Hurricane Bill. Kingston, MA, received 3.74 inches of rain from Bill. Western Massachusetts got even heavier rain from an approaching cold front.

Bill's impact on Canada
The Canadian Hurricane Center is predicting that Bill will generate a storm surge of 0.5 - 1.0 meters (1.5 - 3 feet) along the coasts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland today, as the storm races northeast at 30 mph. The surge, when combined with the 5 - 10 meter (16 - 33 foot) waves expected to pound the coast, will cause considerable coastal damage. This is the main threat of Bill to Canada. Bill's highest hurricane-force winds should stay offshore this afternoon as the hurricane passes the heavily populated capital, Halifax. However, winds of 60 - 70 mph will likely impact eastern Nova Scotia, where Bill is expected to make landfall later today, causing considerable tree damage and power outages. Heavy rains of 3 - 4 inches will also cause localized flooding problems. Radar out of Halifax, Nova Scotia shows heavy rain from Bill impacting most of the province, but Bill's center is located well offshore. Buoy 44150 was in the east eyewall of Bill at 9:30 am EDT, and reported sustained winds of 62 mph, gusting to 85 mph, with waves of 40 feet. Bill is expected to make landfall over Newfoundland near midnight tonight, but will have likely weakened to a tropical storm by then.

Links to follow:
wundermap for Nova Scotia
Halifax radar
Canadian Hurricane Center advisories

Elsewhere in the tropics
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic worth mentioning today. Most of the models are calling for the possible development of a tropical cyclone in the waters between the Bahamas and North Carolina on Wednesday or Thursday. There could be two triggers for tropical cyclone formation--the remains of the cold front that pushed off the U.S. East Coast this morning, plus a tropical wave that is currently approaching the northern Lesser Antilles Islands. We will also need to watch the region off the coast of Africa this week.

I'll have an update Monday, when I'll show a remarkable photo taken in the eye of Hurricane Bill by the Hurricane Hunters.

Jeff Masters

After Bill (denmar)
Looking south easterly off St. David's, Bermuda
After Bill
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill (bugbug)
East Coast surfers trying their hand at "big" surf.
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill

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902. wunderkidcayman
2:19 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:

guys remember that the first model run are not that accurate so it may go into the caribbean or be a fish system so people from northern leewards greater antilles tbe bahamas and the SE coast should keep an eye on 92L
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12716
901. Ameister12
2:17 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Oh yay!
A new blog!
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5082
900. TropicTraveler
2:16 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Last week I mentioned that hubby and I visited a lighthouse on a promontory in Nova Scotia. It was maybe 200 feet across, rocks were huge and we were 80 or 90 feet above the sea. Right at the base of the lighthouse was a memorial plaque for a young couple that got washed away from that spot. We were there on a beautiful summer day - couldn't imagine a wave high enough to reach that point and sweep anyone away. It was a very sobering thing to think about. I mean we were way above the ocean, much too high to think a wave could reach us. The people on those rocks no doubt thought they were completely safe too - but ignoring the warnings to enjoy the thrill - just too sad for words for those injured and for the parents of that 7 year old. Will it stop people next time? I really doubt it. Maybe put a big monument on that point with a photo of the lost child would help.
Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 927
899. Ameister12
2:14 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Good morning!

I see the disturbance in the tropics might be stating to organize and that Hilda isn't alone.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5082
898. hurricanemaniac123
2:14 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
NEW BLOG!
:)
Member Since: September 21, 2008 Posts: 9 Comments: 688
897. NEwxguy
2:13 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting KEHCharleston:

Sometimes we forget how hard this is on the men and women of the Coast Guard, who have to pull the child from the water.
I am with you, StormW.


They do an amazing job,I give a standing ovation for those people out there,it must have been heart wrenching to pull that girl out and be unable to save her.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15988
896. Prgal
2:13 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
New Blog.
Member Since: September 7, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 921
895. Alockwr21
2:13 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Looks like NC/SC/GA might be the chosen spot for 92L..way too early to know though; models aren't in complete agreement with anything at this point.
Member Since: September 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 725
894. Relix
2:13 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


then they need this graphic :)



Hey that looks pretty safe for PR then =P
Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2741
893. TheCaneWhisperer
2:12 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
.
892. KimberlyB
2:11 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting P451:


The circled area is the invest itself. I figured it might be tough to pick out on such a small image.

As to the significance of the lightning I would suggest it means the convection is very intense with the system. More energy more of a chance to develop.

Maybe someone with more experience can weigh in on that if needed.


Ah, ok. That makes sense. Thank you.
Member Since: October 21, 2007 Posts: 27 Comments: 329
891. AllStar17
2:13 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


then they need this graphic :)



The BAMD is interesting.
Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
890. nishinigami
2:09 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting KEHCharleston:

Sometimes we forget how hard this is on the men and women of the Coast Guard, who have to pull the child from the water.
I am with you, StormW.

Absolutely, they too have to live with what they see and do in their job. God bless all those that serve in the USCG.

A proud Coast Guard Spouse :)
Member Since: August 24, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 221
889. nrtiwlnvragn
2:09 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting Elena85Vet:


DUCK!! Here come the xtrapolaters. :P


then they need this graphic :)

Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 11343
887. sporteguy03
2:08 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
From Melbournwe FL NWS:

THURS-SUN...MUCH UNCERTAINTY LIES IN THE LONG RANGE FORECAST AS
MODELS ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THE PLACEMENT AND
DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL BE APPROACHING CENTRAL
FLORIDA. THE GFS NOW WANTS TO DRAG THE WAVE INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
355 AM EDT MON AUG 24 2009



WHICH WOULD GREATLY INCREASE MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES FOR THURS
INTO FRI. HOWEVER THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF KEEPS THE WAVE JUST EAST
OF THE AREA AND DEVELOPS IT INTO A CLOSED LOW SYSTEM AS IT BUILDS
NORTH LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WILL STICK WITH THE ECMWF FOR NOW
AND HOLD ONTO NEAR NORMAL POPS AROUND 40% FOR MUCH OF THE EXTENDED.
HOWEVER WILL HAVE TO WATCH HOW FUTURE MODEL RUNS HANDLE THIS SYSTEM
AS PLACEMENT WILL BE KEY TO HOW RAIN CHANCES WILL PLAY OUT.



Link
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5417
886. Elena85Vet
2:07 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:


DUCK!! Here come the xtrapolaters. :P
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 628
884. nrtiwlnvragn
2:04 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 11343
883. hurricanehanna
2:04 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting P451:


Someone needs to drop an ice cube in the gulf.


I am more than willing to donate several bags of ice if we could get everyone on the Gulf Coast to do the same...lol....if only it were that easy
Member Since: September 5, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3488
882. FLGatorCaneNut
2:03 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
Jeanne went up the Fla East coast offshore, then looped around and came back.


As did Betsy in 1965... She also did a loop de loop
Member Since: July 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 198
881. KEHCharleston
2:02 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting StormW:


Admin, please pardon the language...but things like this really PISS ME OFF!

Sometimes we forget how hard this is on the men and women of the Coast Guard, who have to pull the child from the water.
I am with you, StormW.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 2490
880. KimberlyB
2:01 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Mornin'.

Looking forward to your update as always Storm.

P451? What's the significance of where the lightening is located? I noticed on your fourth graphic that you had a section circled. Is there some relevance between where the lightening is occurring and the storm possibly strengthening, or getting it's act together so to speak?
Member Since: October 21, 2007 Posts: 27 Comments: 329
879. justalurker
2:01 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting P451:


Someone needs to drop an ice cube in the gulf.

ask bill gates to bring those ships over there..
Member Since: August 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 157
878. FLWeatherFreak91
2:01 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting IKE:


May keep it off-shore. It may not though. Too soon to know.
Bill actually protected the US to an extent by further breaking down the ridge. Otherwise, any storm would likely continue west into Fl, then into the Gulf.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
877. IKE
2:00 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting SeVaSurfer:

Wow.
We had a few knuckleheads on our jeddie in VB as well during the height of our biggest waves, definately crashing and covering the entire jeddie. Our lifeguards just sat on their stands and blew the whistles. Finally the police showed up and gave everyone a ticket for trespassing on the jeddie.


Good.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
875. SeVaSurfer
1:59 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting NEwxguy:


The problem was everyone there was swept into the sea,about 20 or so people,noone to jump in to save here,coast guard pulled the adult a 12 yr old and the 7 yr old out,but couldn't revive the 7 yr old.

Wow.
We had a few knuckleheads on our jeddie in VB as well during the height of our biggest waves, definately crashing and covering the entire jeddie. Our lifeguards just sat on their stands and blew the whistles. Finally the police showed up and gave everyone a ticket for trespassing on the jeddie.
Member Since: August 30, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 104
874. messageinabottle
1:59 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Good morning storm, good morning all! I haven't been on all weekend. Did I miss anything? I thought Bill would have been gone by now..
Storm, will the conditions now lead the new invest north as well?
Member Since: October 17, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 30
873. NEwxguy
1:59 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Troughs are the things that push these storms out to sea,but also can be the channel to pull it up the coast too,its all about timing.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15988
872. DaytonaBeachWatcher
1:59 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting WeatherStudent:


Yup, due west.


LOL
Member Since: June 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1136
871. IKE
1:58 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting hurricanehanna:

Hey Ike.
Any chances of a trough keeping it away from the US altogether?


May keep it off-shore. It may not though. Too soon to know.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
869. justalurker
1:57 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting AllStar17:


Which means it will impact a bunch of people from Georgia, northward.


my scenario isnt that good for this wave, if it continues to go west and miss forida great but,than heads noth and curves hitting myrtle beach THATS WHERE MY SECOND HOME IS LOCATED....
Member Since: August 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 157
868. WxLogic
1:56 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting OSUWXGUY:
Good Morning All!


Morning...
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
867. WxLogic
1:56 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting AllStar17:


Good morning.


Morning...
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
866. hurricanehanna
1:56 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting IKE:


They can west-cast all they want to. This one's headed up the east coast.

Hey Ike.
Any chances of a trough keeping it away from the US altogether?
Member Since: September 5, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3488
865. AllStar17
1:55 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Looking at the moment like this will be TD 12-E at 11.
Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
863. AllStar17
1:55 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Looking as small as Carlos.
Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
862. IKE
1:54 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
There is a wave in the Caribbean, but it looks headed due west into Nicaragua and Honduras.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
861. NEwxguy
1:53 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting SeVaSurfer:

I have an 8 year old daughter, she surfs, she was not allowed in the water this weekend. I guess if this was my situation, I would have jumped in after her risking everything. If she is gone my life is over anyway. Prayers for the family.


The problem was everyone there was swept into the sea,about 20 or so people,noone to jump in to save here,coast guard pulled the adult a 12 yr old and the 7 yr old out,but couldn't revive the 7 yr old.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15988
860. AllStar17
1:53 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting 7544:
all this talk about a bahamma wave the cmc was showing this is not 92l right that one is yet to form correct


92L was forecast to move into the Bahamas and merge with the remnants of a dying cold front and form a tropical system, according to most models.
Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
858. Elena85Vet
1:53 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting IKE:


True.

Also...keeping 2 eyes on your kids at ALL times.


The parents of this child will pay the ultimate price for their negligence. They'll spend the rest of their lives thinking 'coulda', shoulda', woulda.'
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 628
857. FLWeatherFreak91
1:53 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting 7544:


how is that didnt jean hit fla this should turn north way before
Jeanne went up the Fla East coast offshore, then looped around and came back.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
856. AllStar17
1:52 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Quoting IKE:


They can west-cast all they want to. This one's headed up the east coast.


Which means it will impact a bunch of people from Georgia, northward.
Member Since: June 29, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 5315
855. hurricanemaniac123
1:52 PM GMT on August 24, 2009
Now we have 92L, I'm guessing we could have orange circle today, and maybe a red circle tommorow or Wednesday, and a TD sometime this week if it continues to organize.
Member Since: September 21, 2008 Posts: 9 Comments: 688

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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