U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

Day Three

acus02 kwns 211725 
Storm Prediction Center ac 211724 

Day 2 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1124 am CST Wed Nov 21 2018 

Valid 221200z - 231200z 

..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast... 

isolated thunderstorms are possible along the northeast Florida 
coast Thursday. However, severe thunderstorms are not expected. 


Late-morning water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave 
trough over the Southern Plains moving east-southeast in line with 
latest model guidance. This feature is forecast to approach the Florida 
Peninsula Thursday afternoon which should induce a weak surface 
trough off the Southeast Florida coast. Large-scale forcing for ascent 
north of this evolving coastal boundary may prove adequate for weak 
convection ahead of the short wave. For these reasons will maintain 
thunder probs for this region. 

..maximum risk by hazard... 
Tornado: <2% - none 
wind: <5% - none 
hail: <5% - none 

.Darrow.. 11/21/2018