- Day Three
acus02 kwns 211725
Storm Prediction Center ac 211724
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1124 am CST Wed Nov 21 2018
Valid 221200z - 231200z
..no severe thunderstorm areas forecast...
isolated thunderstorms are possible along the northeast Florida
coast Thursday. However, severe thunderstorms are not expected.
Late-morning water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined short-wave
trough over the Southern Plains moving east-southeast in line with
latest model guidance. This feature is forecast to approach the Florida
Peninsula Thursday afternoon which should induce a weak surface
trough off the Southeast Florida coast. Large-scale forcing for ascent
north of this evolving coastal boundary may prove adequate for weak
convection ahead of the short wave. For these reasons will maintain
thunder probs for this region.
..maximum risk by hazard...
Tornado: <2% - none
wind: <5% - none
hail: <5% - none